Virtus Entella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
ACD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
ACD
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 3
ACD
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
SPE
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |