Virtus Entella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACD
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
BOL
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 1
ACD
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 1
SPE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 3
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |