Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 3-3
Virtus Entella vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 0
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACD
14%
25%
61%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACD
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 0
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 1
REC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
ASG
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 2
SAS
64%
23%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |