Virtus Entella vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 2
BEN
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 1
ACD
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
PRG
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
USC
1 - 2
ACD
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
AVE
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAV
76%
16%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
LAT
2 - 2
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
LAT
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 3
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |