Virtus Entella vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
2 - 0
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 3
ACD
18%
28%
54%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 0
LIG
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAL
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 0
OLB
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
PIS
3 - 0
ARZ
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CUN
1 - 0
ARZ
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USA
25%
27%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
ASL
4 - 0
ARZ
56%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |