Virtus Entella vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
ACD
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 0
REC
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIM
1 - 0
ACD
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
ALC
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CLO
2 - 1
ALC
41%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
VFC
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
ALC
12%
22%
66%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |