Virtus Entella vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
ACD
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 0
ABN
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACD
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 1
VNZ
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 1
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAV
40%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 1
VNZ
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
PAV
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |