Virtus Entella vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACD
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 2
ACD
33%
30%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
CES
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LAT
1 - 1
CES
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CES
1 - 2
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |