Virtus Entella U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
10º
5º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
VIR
26%
22%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 1
TER
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
1 - 0
VIR
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
CRO
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
VIR
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CES
8 - 0
MNP
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
PIS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 3
CES
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |