Virtus Castelfranco vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 3
SCA
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAV
0 - 1
VIR
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
5 - 1
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
6 - 0
PEL
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
VIR
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIR
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 2
ASS
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |