Virtus Castelfranco vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 3
PIS
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
VIR
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
TUT
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 3
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 1
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 1
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
MEZ
1 - 0
VIR
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
BAG
22%
23%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |