Virtus Castelfranco vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 3
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIR
4 - 1
ROV
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACC
2 - 0
VIR
36%
27%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
MEZ
0 - 0
VIR
37%
27%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
ROS
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACC
3 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASC
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACC
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |