Virtus Castelfranco vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
63%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
PDC
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ROV
2 - 1
VIR
50%
24%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACC
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
MPO
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 1
BFM
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 3
PIS
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASC
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PON
0 - 2
PIS
15%
23%
61%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PIS
3 - 0
CSP
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |