Virtus Castelfranco vs Pelli Santacroce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 2
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 2
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TUT
0 - 0
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
ROS
57%
23%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
FOR
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
3 - 2
PEL
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAM
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 0
PEL
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 1
BAG
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |