Virtus Castelfranco vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ABM
0 - 1
VIR
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
CSP
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ACC
2 - 2
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PDC
1 - 1
ACC
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
PDC
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PDC
0 - 1
SUC
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CSP
1 - 1
PDC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
RAV
5 - 1
PDC
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |