Virtus Castelfranco vs Formigine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
4 - 1
VIR
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 4
COR
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
VIR
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
MEZ
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
THE
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
FID
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RIC
1 - 3
FOR
22%
22%
57%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |