Virtus Castelfranco vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIR
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
ASL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAS
3 - 1
VIR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
THE
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FID
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
THE
2 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAC
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLO
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |