Virtus Castelfranco vs Dorando Pietri Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
BOR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIC
0 - 1
VIR
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
USR
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
1 - 2
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
VIR
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dorando Pietri Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PON
3 - 2
DPC
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DPC
3 - 3
SDA
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACC
3 - 1
DPC
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 0
ASC
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
48%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |