Virtus Castelfranco vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 2
VIR
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
RAV
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
VIR
39%
23%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 1
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 0
IMO
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LEG
5 - 3
DEL
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 0
ROM
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
DEL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 1
DEL
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |