Virtus Castelfranco vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
MEZ
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PON
0 - 1
VIR
55%
25%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TUT
2 - 2
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 2
PON
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TUT
0 - 0
BOR
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
MPO
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |