Virtus Castelfranco vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIC
0 - 1
VIR
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
USR
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
1 - 2
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
VIR
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SDA
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RIC
3 - 0
BOR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 1
BFM
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PON
5 - 1
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 0
SDA
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOR
79%
15%
7%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |