Virtus Castelfranco vs Comacchio Lidi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SUC
2 - 2
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIR
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
CRO
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
USR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Comacchio Lidi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 1
PDC
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ABM
3 - 1
UCL
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UCL
2 - 2
ACC
30%
25%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
UCL
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UCL
1 - 1
SUC
18%
23%
59%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +2 |