Virtus Castelfranco vs Suzzara Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
ASV
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ACE
1 - 2
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
MEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Suzzara Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SUC
0 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SUC
2 - 3
ACC
61%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SUC
0 - 0
UCL
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
SUC
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SUC
1 - 1
CRO
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |