Casarano vs Viribus Unitis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IRS
1 - 0
VIR
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
NAR
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Viribus Unitis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 0
VIR
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
ANG
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |