Casarano vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PST
0 - 1
VIR
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
POM
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
2 - 4
TUR
20%
23%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
OSP
2 - 1
ASF
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
1 - 1
ISC
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
ASF
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 1
TUR
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |