Virtus Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
USB
1 - 3
VIR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 3
MOL
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
MOL
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 1
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 1
MOL
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TAR
3 - 1
MOL
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |