Virovitica vs Podravac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
POD
5 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
NMP
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NKN
0 - 3
VIR
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NKD
4 - 1
VIR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 2
NOO
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Podravac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NMP
0 - 0
POD
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
POD
1 - 4
NKS
17%
19%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NKP
2 - 2
POD
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POD
2 - 2
NMP
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MZL
3 - 0
POD
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |