Virovitica vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
8º
32
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 4
NKK
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 2
VIR
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
NKP
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POD
2 - 0
VIR
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 4
NDD
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 1
POD
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
PAP
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 2
POD
65%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NDD
0 - 0
PAP
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 0
NKS
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |