Virovitica vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
8º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
VIR
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 0
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
2 - 0
VIR
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 2
NKS
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
6 - 0
POD
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 1
POD
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |