Viribus Unitis vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viribus Unitis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
IRS
2 - 2
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
SAR
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
7 - 2
VIR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
5 - 0
VIR
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ISC
2 - 0
NAR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 1
IRS
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 2
NAR
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 2
NAR
19%
23%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |