Virginia United vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 0
SPR
74%
14%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 2
VIR
61%
18%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIR
5 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
VIR
25%
19%
56%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BRK
4 - 1
VIR
37%
20%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
6 - 0
NPI
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
UNI
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPR
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
UNI
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 4
UNI
11%
15%
73%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |