Vineuil SF vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
14º
31
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vineuil SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 0
TOU
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
VSF
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 0
VSF
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 2
CSL
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
VSF
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SBM
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
CHA
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
CHA
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |