Vindbjart vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
1 - 1
VIN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 2
ASA
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RAN
0 - 1
VIN
56%
21%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIN
2 - 1
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
VIN
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JER
1 - 2
NES
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
JER
25%
23%
51%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
TFC
4 - 0
JER
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +21 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
JER
2 - 3
FOL
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |