Vimy vs Olympique Marcquois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AAC
0 - 1
VIM
28%
23%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USM
1 - 2
VIM
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIM
3 - 1
IRI
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AAC
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
IRI
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |