Vimy vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
12º
8º
42
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIM
1 - 1
CHA
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
VIM
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 2
LEN
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCP
3 - 3
VIM
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIM
0 - 0
DIE
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
REI
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IRI
2 - 1
LIL
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 1
LPV
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
OLY
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |