Vimy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
VIM
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 4
AMI
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 2
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 0
VIM
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEN
5 - 1
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LEN
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
LON
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |