Vimy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
VIM
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FEI
4 - 0
VIM
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIM
2 - 2
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VIM
1 - 1
TOU
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AMI
4 - 1
VIM
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
0 - 2
USM
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AAC
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
CHT
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 2
AMI
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |