Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
6º
2º
40
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 68 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCE
0 - 3
VJK
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 1
FCT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
7 - 1
TAL
84%
12%
5%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
VJK
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FCE
1 - 0
VJK
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 3
WEL
22%
22%
55%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
WEL
3 - 0
LEV
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 5
WEL
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
WEL
0 - 1
NOM
76%
15%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 5
FCE
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |