Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
6º
2º
10
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 68 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 1
WEL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCE
0 - 3
VJK
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 1
FCT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
7 - 1
TAL
84%
12%
5%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
VJK
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 3
TKA
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TKA
0 - 3
NOM
19%
20%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCE
5 - 3
TKA
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
TKA
0 - 3
FCT
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 2
TKA
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |