Viimsi JK vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
55
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 85 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 25 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 92.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
1 - 0
TKA
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 1
WEL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCE
0 - 3
VJK
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 1
FCT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VJK
7 - 1
TAL
84%
12%
5%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
WEL
1 - 3
NOM
42%
23%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
5 - 1
LAA
89%
8%
3%
|
74 | 16 | 58 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
4 - 0
FLO
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
4 - 1
FLO
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TKA
0 - 3
NOM
19%
20%
61%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |