Viimsi JK vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
6º
2º
25
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 68 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 0
VJK
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
VJK
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VJK
3 - 3
FCE
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VJK
0 - 1
KUR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
5 - 1
VJK
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 2
NOM
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCE
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
TKA
1 - 2
NOM
64%
19%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 4
MAA
11%
14%
75%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 2
NOM
22%
19%
59%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |