Villongo Calcio vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villongo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RIG
2 - 3
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAV
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ORC
0 - 2
VIL
32%
23%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRU
32%
23%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PED
1 - 4
VIL
44%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
GRU
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PED
0 - 3
CRE
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DAR
1 - 2
CRE
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 1
PAL
83%
11%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ASO
0 - 2
CRE
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |