FC 08 Villingen vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
28.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
5º
1º
41
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOP
4 - 2
VIL
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
TSB
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
REU
0 - 3
VIL
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
7 - 0
OFF
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 1
ATS
19%
18%
63%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
4 - 0
RAV
63%
18%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 3
ATS
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |