Villena vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ISJ
0 - 2
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
8 - 0
CDI
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 3
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
6 - 0
CIU
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 2
VIL
16%
21%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 2
ALC
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AGO
4 - 2
UDF
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 1
ODI
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
UDF
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 1
CAM
30%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |