Villena vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 3
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
5 - 0
BEN
75%
15%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ESI
0 - 3
VIL
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
6 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
ONT
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 0
UDF
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ESI
1 - 2
UDF
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UDF
3 - 1
ATL
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDF
34%
22%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALG
4 - 2
UDF
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |