Villena vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
5 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
VIL
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
CAL
11%
19%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
9%
16%
76%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |