Villena vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ELD
1 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIJ
8%
19%
73%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
VIL
83%
12%
4%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
HOR
18%
23%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 2
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RED
0 - 0
VIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 1
RED
56%
23%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RED
0 - 2
ALM
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
THD
2 - 0
RED
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RED
0 - 0
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |