Villena vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 2
VIL
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 2
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
THD
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RED
0 - 2
THD
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIJ
3 - 0
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PET
1 - 2
RED
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RED
4 - 0
BEN
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |