Villena vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIL
81%
11%
8%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VIL
1 - 2
UBC
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIL
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
60%
19%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ALI
5 - 0
VIL
74%
14%
12%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
CDB
1 - 2
AVI
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
CDB
2 - 1
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ORI
4 - 1
CDB
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
CDB
0 - 0
UBC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDB
83%
10%
7%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |