Villena vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIJ
71%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ELD
5 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
THD
2 - 2
SPO
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 2
THD
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
THD
2 - 1
RED
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
THD
6%
15%
79%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
THD
3 - 1
NUD
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |